Long Range Forecast
Source: http://swellwatch.wetsand.com
Report Date: Wed. July 28, 2010
By Forecaster:
Today (Wednesday) south swell should peak from around 176 degrees. This swell is a result of the system I’ve mentioned a handful of times that originated off the Chilean coast late last week. Stand out breaks are going to be those with a direct southern exposure (i.e. Southern Mexico). Peak periods should be filling in around 16 seconds today, before the system backs off fairly quickly for most places tomorrow. Those southern exposures could hold on to some size through the end of the week.
Next up, the models are showing a more SWerly long-period groundswell showing up on the 30th. Periods are expected to be around 18-seconds from 215 degrees. Size on this one could be fairly decent increasing through the weekend slowly backing off through the course of next week.
Further out, today’s models are showing a new fetch off the SE coast of New Zealand, with seas peaking around 30+ feet. Although quite a bit of energy will be lost over the 7000 mile journey to the Latin Coast, it looks like there could still be a fun sized swell headed for around the 6th and 7th of August from 221 degrees. A secondary pulse could follow the initial pulse as well within 24 hours from 219 degrees. This should help maintain some solid surf through that period of time. In addition to these two pulses, the secondary storm looks like it could reform in the South Pacific around Easter Island, generating another pulse of 27-foot seas within 3400 miles of Costa Rica. This would add a third pulse from 215 degrees due to show up immediately after the second pulse. Looks like a solid week of swell for the second week of August.
Beyond that, the models are pretty much exhausted for the time being, we’ll have to see what they come up with on Friday though. Stay tuned for updates..
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No tropical cyclones at this time
Today (Wednesday the 28th) new south swell fills in from around 176 degrees. Surf heights could reach a couple feet overhead to DOH+ at exposed stand out south facing breaks. The mix of swells should mean plenty of surf to go around.
Thursday the 29th S swell from 174 degrees backs off a couple of feet. Stand out breaks should still maintain some size in the head high to a couple feet overhead range, possibly larger at south facing breaks farther to the north.
Friday the 30th the south swell continues to back down, with the angle shifting more towards 175 degrees. Periods are expected to drop to around 14 seconds,. None-the-less there should still be some chest to overhead+ surf at stand out breaks. Late in the day there could be forerunners for the next long period groundswell due form 214 degrees.
Saturday the 31st a new 18-second groundswell fills in from 215 degrees. This could be a great swell, with wave heights ranging from overhead+ to several feet overhead at stand out breaks.
Sunday the 1st the swell should peak and hold in the range of overhead+ to several feet overhead and maybe larger at stand out breaks. The periods should shorten to around 16 seconds.
Monday the 2nd size begins to slowly back down to around overhead to overhead+ at stand out spots. Periods should back down to around 15-seconds as well as the swell shifts to around 210 degrees.
Tuesday the 3rd the swell continues to slowly back down to around head high to overhead with 15-second periods. The 210-degree angle should be maintained through this time.
Beyond that, thanks to some working models, it looks like we can expect a couple pulses of swell to start off the second week of August. Stay tuned.
That's it for today, be safe, and get in the water!
Copyrighted Material courtesy of Swellwatch by Wetsand.com
Source: http://swellwatch.wetsand.com
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